Where the San Antonio Market Stands
San Antonio's real estate market in early 2026 is a study in balance — prices have stabilized after the COVID-era run-up, buyers have regained negotiating power, and activity is picking back up. According to the San Antonio Board of Realtors (SABOR), March 2026 closed with a median home price of $317,000 and 99 average days on market — a combination that defines a genuine buyer's market.
Yet the headline number that stands out is transaction volume, which is up 10% year-over-year. More deals are getting done. That's a signal the market isn't stuck — buyers and sellers are finding common ground, just more carefully than they were in 2021.
Key insight: A 93% sale-to-list ratio means the average home is selling for about 7% below asking price. On a $317K home, that's roughly $22,000 in negotiated savings — real money that skilled representation can capture for a buyer.
What's Driving the Numbers
Inventory Is Still Elevated
San Antonio saw significant new construction between 2021 and 2023, and that supply is now working its way through the market. Buyers have more choices than they've had in years. This is the primary driver behind the 99-day DOM — homes are sitting longer because buyers aren't competing in bidding wars, they're shopping deliberately.
Interest Rates Are the Wild Card
Mortgage rates in the 6.5–7% range continue to price out first-time buyers and compress move-up demand. Sellers who bought pre-2022 with rates under 4% are reluctant to list — the "rate lock" effect is keeping natural inventory off the market, which is what's preventing prices from falling further despite elevated supply.
Foreclosure Activity Is Creeping Up
Pre-foreclosure filings across Bexar County are running higher than the same period in 2025. These aren't crisis-level numbers, but they represent real opportunities for investors — particularly properties heading to the courthouse steps at the first Tuesday auction. Homeowners in distress now have more equity than during previous downturns, which creates cleaner workout situations for all parties.
The Verdict by Who You Are
If You're Buying
This is the best buying environment in 4 years. You have time, leverage, and sellers are negotiating. Lock your rate, get inspections, ask for concessions. Don't wait for rates to drop — if they do, you'll compete again.
If You're Selling
Price it right from day one. The 99-day DOM is an average — correctly priced homes still move in 30–45 days. Overpriced homes are anchoring that average upward. Presentation and pricing are everything right now.
If You're Investing
The distressed pipeline is opening up. Pre-foreclosure outreach, courthouse auctions, and motivated seller deals are producing acquisition prices that pencil at today's rents. Focus on sub-$250K with value-add potential.
Neighborhoods to Watch
Within San Antonio, activity isn't uniform. The strongest demand continues to be in the 78254, 78249, and 78251 zip codes on the far west side — driven by proximity to JBSA-Lackland and steady military/contractor demand. Southeast SA (78220, 78222) is seeing investor activity pick up as acquisition prices have come down to ranges that support cash-flow positive rentals.
The most challenged segments are new-construction suburbs in the far northwest where builder incentives compete directly with resale, and the $400K–$550K price band which has seen the sharpest increase in days on market.
My Take Going Into Q2 2026
I expect prices to hold relatively flat through mid-2026, with modest appreciation (2–4%) in the second half if rates tick down toward 6%. Transaction volume will continue recovering — the pent-up demand is real, and buyers who've been waiting on the sidelines will start acting as they gain confidence that prices aren't falling further.
For investors, the window for acquiring distressed and below-market properties is open now. Once rates drop and competition picks back up, the easy money on the acquisition side closes with it.
Source: San Antonio Board of Realtors (SABOR) market data, March 2026. Bexar County foreclosure filing data. Analysis by Mauro Morillo, independent real estate consultant specializing in pre-foreclosure and investment properties in San Antonio, TX.
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